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Sunday, January 04
Region EST Indicator Actual Forecast Previous
USA USA 1:15pm + FOMC Member Yellen Speaks
USA USA 5:50pm + FOMC Member Yellen Speaks
Monday, January 05 |  
  • EUR/USD - Euro Plummets 400 Pips to Start the Week:  Turning to our market highlights for the day, we see a very sharp drop in the Euro-Dollar pair, amounting to more than 400 pips from high to low. The main theme today that fueled Dollar strength was speculation that President-elect Barack Obama's fiscal stimulus plan will help the US recover from its recession. More details were released about the plan, including a larger than expected amount that will go towards tax breaks for individuals and companies. The Euro-Dollar pair slid from its high near 1.3960 to test 1.3550. That put the pair at a 3-week low.

    EUR/USD 

  • EUR/GBP - Pound Has Biggest One-Day Gain vs Euro Since Euro's Inception: The Euro also suffered its biggest one day loss against the Pound, also a slide of nearly 400 pips. Such a sharp fall will most likely stall the pair's climb to parity which we saw the last couple of weeks. Expectations increased that the ECB's hawkish language about slowing down their pace of interest rate cuts will be altered as negative news pours in from the Euro-zone and inflation keeps slowing. Comments from the ECB vice president echoed those sentiments. The Pound was boosted by plans by Bank of England Governor Mervyn King to expand the 200-billion pound program that allows banks to swap illiquid securities for government debt.

    EUR/GBP

  • GBP/USD - Pound Gains on Dollar on BOE Plans: The Pound-Dollar pair rose about 270 pips from its low in favor of the Pound, making the Pound the strongest currency out of the three we have mentioned so far. The pair has established a clear line of support near the 1.44 level, and is now moving back into the consolidation zone we saw two weeks ago between 1.47 and 1.48. 

    GBP/USD

  • USD/JPY - Dollar Up On Yen as European ad Asian Stocks Advance:  The Dollar-Yen pair shot up 150 pips today, mainly in European trading as stocks in both Asia and Europe advanced, increasing risk appetite. Commodities were up helping oil producers. Today's gains put the pair about 230 pips higher than the resistance turned support level near 90.90. US equities traded back and forth in morning trading but fell into the red as figures on domestic vehicle sales rolled in. That stalled the greenback's gains near 93.50.

    USD/JPY 

  • USD/CAD - Loonie Surges on Higher Oil Prices:  In our final pair, we focus on the US Dollar-Canadian Dollar which saw a steep drop as oil prices rose. By the NY session oil prices were up $2, putting the price of a barrel at $48.50. The Loonie took advantage gaining almost 325 pips in NY trading, after hitting a high near 1.2225 prior to the NY open. 

    USD/CAD 

Market Highlights
Region EST Indicator Actual Forecast Previous
UK UK 12:00am + Consumer Confidence
47
47
51
SWZ SWZ 3:30am + SVME PMI
36.9
34.8
35.2
EMU EMU 4:30am + Sentix Investor Confidence
-34.4
-44.0
-42.3
UK UK 4:30am + Construction PMI
29.3
30.5
31.8
USA USA 10:00am + Construction Spending
-0.6%
-1.3%
-0.4%
R
Revised from -1.2%
USA USA 1:15pm + FOMC Member Yellen Speaks
USA USA 4:00pm + Motor Vehicle Sales
10.3M
10.0M
10.2M
AUS AUS 5:30pm + Services PMI
39.3
37.8
JPN JPN 6:50pm + Monetary Base y/y
1.8%
1.8%
1.9%
UK UK 7:01pm + Consumer Confidence Index (NCCI)
47
47
51
R
Revised from 50
Tuesday, January 06 |  
  • EUR/USD - Euro Slides 300 Pips vs Dollar:  The Euro continued falling against the Dollar, sliding another 300 pips to test the level around 1.33. That put the pair about 600 pips lower than where we started the week as traders price in a more aggressive ECB. The euro managed to recover some of its losses in the NY session as US data was weak, giving the downtrend a chance to retract about 50% of its fall.

    EUR/USD 

  • EUR/GBP - Euro Slides vs Pound for Second Straight Session:  The Euro-Pound also fell heavily for a second straight session, as the luster behind the Euro is being sapped away. The pair fell 270 pips to the 0.9020 area, where it found some support. Last Friday we saw the uptrend trendline broken, and we have had significant follow-through. We will show you how the Pound fared against the dollar after we present today's US fundamental data.

    EUR/GBP 

  • GBP/USD - Pound Climbs 500 Pips to an Intra-day High of 1.4960:  Yesterday we saw the Pound-Dollar climbing from its support near 1.4450. In overnight trading the Pound gave up most of its gains, testing 1.45 for a brief moment before roaring to a 475 pip move in NY trading. That brought the pair to an intra-day high of 1.4960.

    GBP/USD 

  • USD/JPY - Dollar Rallies in Overnight Trading to 94.60: For a second session in a row the Dollar-Yen rallied in European trading, climbing 150 pips to set an intra-day high at 94.60. In early NY morning trading the Dollar retraced about two-thirds of its climb. Stocks were up in the US, despite the weak US data. Policy makers saw "substantial" risks to the slumping economy which justified them cutting rates to a record low while also pledging to expand emergency loans which would show up on the central banks balance sheet. Officials believe "the economic outlook would remain weak for a time and the downside risks to economic activity would be substantial" with the "distinct possibility of a prolonged recession."

    USD/JPY

  • USD/CAD - Loonie Continues Gaining on Dollar on Oil Reaching $50:  Just like in our previous pairs, the US Dollar-Canadian Dollar extended its move from yesterday after a correction to start the session. The pair fell to 1.1760 following the US fundamental news, which establishes a downward range for this pair. Today's low was the lowest this pair has been since the beginning of November. Just like yesterday higher oil prices were a catalyst for the Loonie's gains as oil rose above $50 a barrel before retreating.

    USD/CAD 

Market Highlights
Region EST Indicator Actual Forecast Previous
UK UK 2:00am + Nationwide House Prices m/m
-2.5%
-1.5%
-0.4%
EMU EMU 4:00am + Services PMI
42.1
42.0
42.0
UK UK 4:30am + Services PMI
40.2
39.0
40.1
EMU EMU 5:00am + Consumer Price Index y/y
1.6%
1.8%
2.1%
CAN CAN 8:30am + Producer Price Index m/m
-2.6%
-0.9%
-0.1%
R
Revised from 0.0%
CAN CAN 8:30am Raw Materials Price Index m/m
-13.4%
-9.0%
-12.9%
R
Revised from -12.5%
USA USA 10:00am + ISM Non-Manufacturing Index
40.6
36.9
37.3
USA USA 10:00am + Pending Home Sales m/m
-4.0%
-0.9%
-4.2%
R
Revised from -0.7%
USA USA 10:00am + Factory Orders
-4.6%
-2.5%
-6.0%
R
Revised from -5.1%
USA USA 2:00pm + FOMC Meeting Minutes
NZ NZ 4:45pm + Trade Balance
-838M
-942M
AUS AUS 7:30pm + Retail Sales m/m
0.2%
AUS AUS 8:00pm + New Home Sales
4.5%
NZ NZ 9:00pm + Commodity Price Index (ANZ)
-7.2%
Wednesday, January 07
Region EST Indicator Actual Forecast Previous
EMU EMU 2:00am + ECB President Trichet Speaks
GER GER 2:00am + Wholesale Price Index m/m
-1.7%
-3.3%
GER GER 3:55am + Unemployment Change
10K
-10K
EMU EMU 5:00am + Producer Price Index m/m
-1.1%
-0.8%
UK UK 5:30am + BRC Shop Price Index y/y
2.7%
USA USA 8:15am + ADP Employment Change
-450K
-472K
AUS AUS 5:30pm + Construction PMI
32.0
AUS AUS 7:30pm + Building Approvals
-1.3%
-5.4%
AUS AUS 7:30pm + Trade Balance
2.15B
2.95B
Thursday, January 08
Region EST Indicator Actual Forecast Previous
SWZ SWZ 1:45am + Consumer Price Index m/m
-0.3%
-0.7%
SWZ SWZ 1:45am + Unemployment Rate
2.8%
2.7%
GER GER 2:00am + Trade Balance
13.6B
15.8B
EMU EMU 5:00am + Consumer Confidence
-26
-25
EMU EMU 5:00am + Economic Sentiment Indicator
74.9
EMU EMU 5:00am + Business Climate Indicator
-2.8
-2.14
EMU EMU 5:00am + Unemployment Rate
7.8%
7.7%
GER GER 6:00am + Factory Orders m/m
-1.6%
-6.1%
UK UK 7:00am + BOE Interest Rate Statement
1.50%
2.00%
USA USA 8:30am + Jobless Claims
540K
492K
CAN CAN 10:00am + Ivey PMI
38.0
40.2
USA USA 3:00pm + Consumer Credit m/m
-0.5B
-3.5B